Would Thranduil Have Tried to Defeat Smaug for the Riches of Erebor?

Thranduil, the Elvenking of the Woodland Realm in J.R.R. Tolkien's Middle-earth, had a complex relationship with both the dwarves and the dragon Smaug. His primary motivations were driven by the safety of his realm and the protection of his people, rather than personal greed for wealth. Analysis of Thranduil's actions and the historical context reveal a strategic approach focused on defense and diplomacy.

Thranduil's Primary Concerns

Thranduil was primarily concerned with the safety of his realm from various threats, including the dragon Smaug. The riches of Erebor did not hold much interest for him, as they were not within his domain, and he lacked the necessary resources and allies to confront Smaug.

Historical Context and Relations

The relationship between elves and dwarves had a fraught history, especially following the events surrounding the Battle of Azanulbizar. Additionally, the growing threat from Sauron played a significant role in shaping Thranduil's decisions. His involvement in supporting other parties, such as Men of Lake-town, suggests a preference for diplomatic solutions over direct military engagement.

However, as time progresses and Smaug's continued presence poses a threat to nearby realms like Rivendell and potentially the Woodland Realm, Thranduil's stance evolves. The challenge lies in the potential alliances Sauron could forge with Smaug, which would threaten not only the vast riches of the Seven Dwarven Families but also the entire region.

Strategic Considerations

Thranduil might simply wait for Smaug to eventually age and become more vulnerable. However, this approach is fraught with risks, as Sauron could use Smaug as a tool to attack other regions, such as Rivendell and Lindon.

Military strategy plays a significant role here. Thranduil's forces, while elite and experienced, are irreplaceable and could be overwhelmed by Sauron's ability to reproduce and recruit faster than elves can. This underscores the need for alliances and combined efforts to defend against the more immediate threat of Sauron's forces.

Epic Battles and Alliances

When the final war came, Thranduil faced a two-pronged assault: the Kingdoms of Dale and Erebor had to keep a vast Easterling Army at bay, while Thranduil fought off the Army of Dol Guldur to the south. Without direct intervention from the dwarves reclaiming Erebor, Thranduil might have faced a difficult and possibly insurmountable challenge.

The Irony of Thranduil's Efforts

The irony of the entire situation is that Thranduil's efforts to protect his people might have led to their isolation and vulnerability. While his actions aimed to safeguard his realm, the underlying tensions and the loss of the dwarves' presence in Erebor left the Woodland Realm more exposed.

In conclusion, Thranduil's primary motivation was the defense and protection of his people, rather than personal enrichment through the riches of Erebor. His strategic decisions, influenced by historical context and potential alliances, highlight the complexities of dealing with such formidable threats in Middle-earth.