Introduction

Belarus's leader, Alexander Lukashenko, has often been criticized for his close relationship with Russia. Many question why he prioritizes dealing with Putin over establishing a significant partnership with the European Union, especially considering Putin's reputation and Lukashenko's personal background. In this article, we will explore the reasons behind Lukashenko's preference for Putin and analyze the strategic and economic benefits Belarus gains from this alliance.

Background on Lukashenko's Leadership

Alexander Lukashenko has been the President of Belarus since 1994, creating a unique place for himself in the political landscape. He has demonstrated a remarkable ability to lead a country with a population of less than ten million people, investing in key sectors such as nuclear energy, information technology, metallurgy, military industry, agriculture, agricultural machinery, and food processing industries. His leadership has resulted in a strong military capable of defending against potential enemies like Poland and Lithuania.

The Role of Russia in Belarus's Economy

Belarus and Russia have a long-standing relationship, with Belarus benefiting significantly from economic partnerships with Russia. Russia provides Belarus with cheap gas and oil, which is then refined into chemicals and exported. This arrangement allows Belarus to maintain a favorable trade balance. Furthermore, Belarus has a visa-free travel regime with Russia, which has not only boosted the Belarusian economy but also created numerous opportunities for its citizens. This reciprocal relationship protects Belarus from external economic shocks and maintains a stable quality of life.

Strategic and Diplomatic Considerations

Why Lukashenko Prefers Putin:

Lukashenko's relationship with Putin is rooted in several strategic and diplomatic considerations. First and foremost, Russia's military and geopolitical importance cannot be understated. Given the size and economic power of the European Union, Lukashenko understands the importance of a strong alliance with Russia. Additionally, Putin's global influence and Russia's nuclear capabilities provide a safety net that Belarus can never afford to overlook.

EU Criticism and Interventions:

The European Union has historically shown hostility towards Lukashenko's rule. There have been multiple instances where the EU has attempted to depose him, further solidifying his desire to maintain a strong relationship with Russia. For example, the EU's sanctions and diplomatic pressure have made it clear to Lukashenko that they are not reliable partners. On the other hand, Russia provides him with a strong stance against such external pressures.

Domestic and International Affiliations

Role of Neighboring Countries:

Neighboring countries such as Lithuania and Poland have played a significant role in stirring unrest within Belarus, leading Lukashenko to move closer to Russia. Russia's willingness to support Belarus diplomatically, as seen in the case of the attempted coup, has been crucial. Without this support, neutrality would be an unviable option for Lukashenko, as it would leave Belarus vulnerable to external manipulations and instability.

Self-Made Leader:

Lukashenko's background as a self-made working-class leader has given him a unique perspective on governance. Unlike the privileged elites in European governments who often act as pawns for U.S. agendas, Lukashenko has had to develop his own foreign policy. This has allowed him to maintain a degree of independence, choosing alliances that align with Belarus's interests rather than those of larger powers.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Lukashenko's preference for Putin over the European Union is a strategic choice driven by a combination of economic, military, and political factors. The relationship between Belarus and Russia is mutually beneficial and provides a strong foundation for Belarus's stability and economic prosperity. While some may view Lukashenko's decisions as unfavorable, his actions are informed by a deep understanding of the geopolitical landscape and the pursuit of national interests.