Introduction

The War of the Five Kings marked a critical period in the Seven Kingdoms of Westeros, yet what if Renly Baratheon escaped assassination and won? This alternate story would drastically alter the political and social landscape of the region.

Renly's Rule: Legitimacy and Support

Renly, as the youngest Baratheon brother, would have capitalized on his status as a charismatic figure. His legitimacy as king would have been bolstered by his youthful appeal and the popularity he enjoyed. His rule would likely have been solidified by his political alliance with the House Tyrell, particularly with Margaery Tyrell as his queen.

Impact on Other Claimants

Stannis Baratheon

Stannis, who firmly believed he was the rightful king, would have faced a prolonged conflict with Renly. Their rivalry could have erupted into a civil war, leading to considerable turmoil and further destabilization.

Robb Stark and the North

Robb Stark would have continued his campaign in the North. Renly's victory might have encouraged a more strategic approach, including efforts to form alliances with the Starks to avoid direct confrontation.

Strengthened Lannister Influence

Weakened Lannister Power

Renly's rise to power would have significantly weakened the Lannister hold on Kings Landing. The alliance between Renly and the Tyrells could have provided a unified front against Cersei and her allies, potentially leading to the Lannisters losing their grip on power.

Conflict with the Crown

The tension between Renly and the Lannisters could have escalated, leading to a potential siege or intense political maneuvering that would shift the balance of power in favor of the Tyrells and against the Lannisters.

Different Ruling Style and Governance

A Charismatic Leadership

Renly's charismatic and less harsh leadership style would have contrasted with other contemporaries, leading to a more social and less oppressive political climate. His focus on feasts and tournaments could have fostered goodwill among the nobility.

Potential for Peace

A united front under Renly might have led to a period of relative peace and prosperity in the Seven Kingdoms. However, this stability could also be short-lived, as it would not resolve the underlying tensions and conflicts.

Long-term Consequences

Threat of the White Walkers

The looming Threat of the White Walkers would continue to present a significant challenge, potentially leading to disastrous consequences if Renly's focus on the Iron Throne were to delay efforts to unite the Seven Kingdoms against the supernatural threat.

Legacy and Succession

The legacy of Renly and his eventual heirs would shape the future of the Baratheon line. If he had children with Margaery, it could create a different legacy for House Baratheon, distinct from the eventual fates of Joffrey and Tommen.

Conclusion

In summary, if Renly Baratheon escaped assassination and victory in the War of the Five Kings, Westeros could have seen a shift in alliances, a different approach to governance, and potentially a more stable political landscape. However, the underlying tensions with other claimants and the external threat presented by the White Walkers would still pose significant challenges to his rule, leading to a very different narrative in both the political and social realms of Westeros.